| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | W | Texas | 14-7 | 2065.7 | +21.8 | 2087.5 | 67.9% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | W | Grambling | 70-0 | 2087.5 | +0.0 | 2087.5 | 96.7% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | W | Ohio | 37-9 | 2087.5 | +4.3 | 2091.8 | 93.3% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | W | Washington | 24-6 | 2091.8 | +12.5 | 2104.3 | 88.8% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | W | Minnesota | 42-3 | 2104.3 | +4.3 | 2108.6 | 93.2% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | W | Illinois | 34-16 | 2108.6 | +15.2 | 2123.8 | 86.3% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | W | Wisconsin | 34-0 | 2123.8 | +2.4 | 2126.2 | 97.9% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | W | Penn State | 38-14 | 2126.2 | +4.1 | 2130.3 | 93.5% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | W | Purdue | 34-10 | 2130.3 | +0.9 | 2131.2 | 99.3% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | W | UCLA | 48-10 | 2131.2 | +1.6 | 2132.8 | 97.4% |
| 14 | Nov 22 2025 | W | Rutgers | 42-9 | 2132.8 | +2.1 | 2134.9 | 96.6% |
| 15 | Nov 29 2025 | W | Michigan | 27-9 | 2134.9 | +21.3 | 2156.2 | 80.5% |
| 16 | Dec 6 2025 | L | Indiana | 10-13 | 2156.2 | -66.5 | 2089.7 | 78.3% |
| 20 | Dec 31 2025 | L | Miami | 14-24 | 2089.7 | -69.9 | 2019.8 | 82.2% |